HIERARCHICAL REPRESENTATION OF CAUSAL RELATIONSHIPS TO DETAIL EXPLANATIONS IN INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS

Abstract

The subject of research in the article is the processes of constructing explanations in intelligent systems based on the use of causal dependencies. The aim is to develop a hierarchical representation of causal relationships between the actions of an intelligent system to form an explanation of the process of the system's operation with a given degree of generalization or detailing. Representation of the hierarchy of cause-and-effect relationships allows you to form an explanation at a given level of detail using the input data in the form of a temporally ordered sequence of events reflecting the known actions of an intelligent system. Tasks: structuring the hierarchy of cause-and-effect relationships for known variants of the decision-making process in an intelligent information system, considering the temporal ordering of the corresponding actions; development of a model of a multi-level representation of causal dependencies for description for explanations in an intelligent system. The approaches used are: counterfactual analysis of causality, used to describe alternative dependencies for possible decision-making options; linear temporal logic to reflect the temporal aspect of causation. The following results were obtained. A generalized hierarchy of cause-and-effect relationships is highlighted for the known variants of the process of obtaining recommendations in an intelligent information system based on the temporal ordering of the corresponding decision-making actions. A model of hierarchical representation of causal dependencies has been developed to describe explanations in an intellectual system with a given degree of detail. Conclusions. The scientific novelty of the results obtained is as follows. A model of hierarchical representation of time-ordered causal relationships is proposed to describe the explanations of the operation of an intelligent system with a given degree of detail. At the top level of the hierarchy, the model defines a generalized causal relationship between the event of using the input data and the event of the result of the system's operation. This connection describes the current task that the intelligent information system solves. At the lower level, cause-and-effect relationships are set between events sequential in time, between which there are no other events. At intermediate levels of the hierarchical representation, the causal dependencies of pairs of events are determined, between which there are other events. The developed model creates conditions for constructing explanations with a given degree of detailing of the actions of the decision-making process in an intelligent system. The model also provides the ability to describe early and late anticipation of alternative sequences of the decision-making process by describing causal dependencies for events between which there are other events.