MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR FORECASTING THE STATE OF A LOGISTICAL SYSTEM OF STATE DEFENSE

Main Article Content

Oleksandr Nakonechnyi
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8854-8983

Abstract

The experience of the history of wars and war conflicts shows that in every successful military company, operation, battle, as in every defeat, it is necessary, among other reasons, to look for the positive and negative sides in the work of logistical bodies, their organizations, capabilities and ways of providing. The development of the logistics system has always been carried out in parallel with the development of the armed forces and methods of warfare, operations and combat. New types of weapons, military equipment, methods of warfare put forward their requirements for the logistics system, forced to produce more modern forms of organization of the logistics system and methods of security. The system of logistical support of the state defense forces is a complex, multi-level structure. In the course of the article, the author developed a mathematical model for predicting the state of the logistical support system of the state defense forces. This model allows to predict the effectiveness of the system of logistical support of the defense forces of the state, with both the system as a whole and its individual elements. This model allows to predict the state of the logistics system, to establish relationships between individual elements of the logistics system of the defense forces of the state, to determine the number of logistics that need to be put in the near future. In the course of the research, the author used both general scientific and special methods of research: semantic was used for the development of the essential part of the definitions of the categorical apparatus of military logistics; methods of economic analysis were used to assess trends in the military provision of the Armed Forces of Ukraine; systematic analysis methods were used to evaluate the prerequisites and integrate the goals in the process of forming a military logistics system; methods of economic and mathematical modeling were used to optimize the structure and internal processes of the military logistics system. According to the results of the research, the author was tasked with developing a methodology for assessing the effectiveness of the system of logistical support of the state defense forces.

Article Details

How to Cite
Nakonechnyi, O. (2020). MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR FORECASTING THE STATE OF A LOGISTICAL SYSTEM OF STATE DEFENSE. Advanced Information Systems, 4(1), 28–32. https://doi.org/10.20998/2522-9052.2020.1.05
Section
Information systems modeling
Author Biography

Oleksandr Nakonechnyi, National Defence University of Ukraine, Kyiv

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